Tag Archive for 'Understanding'

Investing 101: Understanding Time and Risk

The recession has hit America badly. The events that took place from the mortgage crisis to the stock market crash, and down to the collapse of major companies, were really traumatic, to say the least. It is a good thing the American market is currently showing signs of early recovery. Though there are still layoffs probably coming, experts believe the recession will not get any worse any time soon.

Be that as it may, it is again time to start thinking about investing your money. Whether in banks, foreign exchange, bonds, mutual funds or even the dreadful stock market, a lot of people are thinking of pumping money back in market, ready to roll their cash in exchange for a possible profit. However, is it really safe to invest in this current economic environment? The answer to that question is really up to you. Investing, after all, is not an objective option. It all depends on your ideal time frame and risk tolerance.

Time frame

Often called the term, the time frame should be the basis of where to put your investments. Since investments are generally categorized as either risky or not too risky, time plays a crucial role in the investment world. The time-frame can be divided into three terms; short (less than a year), middle(1-8 years), and long(more than 8 years).

Risk Appetite

When it comes to the concept of risk, investors are generally classified into three groups; conservative, moderate, and aggressive. It is important that you are aware of your risk tolerance so you would know where to invest. To give you an idea of these classifications, let’s just say conservative investors prefer government and corporate bonds, while aggressive investors love the thrill of day trading.

Mixing it up

Both time frame and risk appetite is important in the world of investing. In fact, they should always go hand in hand because choosing your investment’s time frame is dependent on your risk appetite, and vice versa. For instance, you invest a chunk of your money in the stock market because you want to reap the benefits for the purpose of paying your child’s college tuition fees 18 years from now.

This is a really neat idea for a lot of parents out there, but not a very wise one as far as financial advisers are concerned. 18 years is a long term investment, and because the stock market is known to be a very volatile investment vehicle, you are not guaranteed that your investment would earn at the end of the 18th year. You may earn a lot during the 17-year stretch, but you can lose all of that in the last year. Take a look at the events that took place prior to the recession. Everything was going well; people were turning in profits in the stock market, when suddenly the market crashes and trillions of dollars drift away in an instant.

If you are investing for the long term such as 18 years, put your money in less risky investments. Go for bonds or life insurance.  Leave the stock market for short or medium term investments. Unless you are Warren Buffett, stick to this concept and you will reap the rewards and smile all the way to the bank in no time.

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Understanding The Drawdown In Automated Forex Trading Systems

Michael Jordan was one of the best basketball players in the world. So what do Michael Jordan and automated Forex trading have in common? It is known in sports terminology as a cold streak or slump. Michael Jordan has missed more than 9000 shots in his career. He and his team have lost almost 300 games, and he failed to make the final game winning shot more than 25 times in his career. Does this make him a poor basketball player because he has failed over and over again during his career?

An athlete will go through a losing streak, and every trader will go through a similar losing streak, a period of consecutive losses with no profitable trades. In trading, this term is defined as drawdown, and it can be defined as a percentage or a number. Regardless of whether you are trading manually or using any automated Forex trading systems, you will experience a period of consecutive losses. It does not matter if you are Michael Jordan of the basketball world or the Warren Buffett of the investment world, everyone will face losses during their career or investment period. Losses are inevitable, and as investors/traders, we cannot avoid them. Trading involves both risk and reward; hence, it is impossible to obtain any type of reward without involving some risk.

An automated Forex trading system cannot avoid a losing streak; however, it is with proper money management that it can minimize the losses during the cold streak. For example, if an automated Forex trading system has a maximum drawdown of $3,000 using a 0.1 standard trading lot, it is not advisable to start trading with this system using $5,000 as starting capital. If you are unlucky and a drawdown immediately starts right after you have turned on your automated Forex trading system, you will see your trading account going from $5,000, to $4,000, to $3,000, to $2,500 and then to $2,000. In this example, you just experienced a losing streak of $3,000, or a 60% drawdown.

Before using any particular trading systems, you want to know what is the largest loss you can face when an automated Forex trading system starts incurring losses due to changes in the volatile Forex market. You must understand that this is a temporary worsening condition of a trading system. This period is the trading risk, and it will pass. With this risky period, a good trading system will recover and provide you with ample rewards (a.k.a. profits). Depending on your level of risk tolerance, a 60% drawdown is quite extreme in one

Winsor A.G.A. Hoang is a registered Professional Engineer and the founder of http://www.ctsforex.com. He has developed five automated Forex trading robots for managed forex trading. His automated software is internationally ranked with live trading results published every 30 minutes. Visitors can use the published trading results as free Forex trading signals